Jarvis King
Senior Demand Forecasting Manager | Commercial Analytics
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Senior Demand Forecasting Manager | Commercial Analytics
Location: London
Salary: £63,000 - £70,000 + 10% Bonus
Benefits: Pension + Share Schemes + Excellent Benefits
Working Arrangement: Hybrid Working | 3 On Site | 2 Remote
This is bigger than a Traditional Forecasting Role
This role helps shape the longer-term commercial outlook for a major national infrastructure business. You’ll be building strategic forecasts, modelling different future scenarios and helping senior leaders understand what changing customer demand could mean for revenue, investment, capacity and resource over the years ahead.
We’re particularly interested in people who have worked in strategic forecasting, scenario modelling, business modelling or consulting-led analytical environments, where you’ve had to take multiple assumptions, market signals and competing data points and turn them into a credible view of what could happen next.
The role in a Nutshell
This is a true analyst-storyteller role. You'll work across sales, finance, commercial, strategy, product and capacity planning, often dealing with contradictory information and using your judgement to extract the real signal from conflicting data. You'll assess how special offers, discounts, bespoke pricing and product substitution shift demand, and you'll be the unbiased, independent voice the business relies on.
What matters is that you're a strong commercial forecaster who can handle large datasets, build robust models, and make the numbers make sense to a room of senior stakeholders.
Skills & Experience
- Strong analytical skills with a proven ability to turn data into accurate forecasts
- Commercial acumen and sound commercial judgement
- Confidence handling large datasets and complex Excel models without losing attention to detail or the bigger picture
- Excellent stakeholder skills - able to build relationships, challenge, influence and negotiate to a clear outcome
- Comfortable extracting key signals from contradictory or incomplete data using your own judgement
- Able to deliver to tight, sometimes conflicting, deadlines
- Educated to degree level or equivalent business experience, ideally in a numerate discipline
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The following would be an advantage:
- Business forecasting or demand planning experience
- Experience using Anaplan
- Familiarity with BI tools such as Power BI or Tableau
- Experience presenting data-led insight to senior stakeholders
Your Responsibilities
- Lead volume and revenue forecasting for a major high-value product portfolio
- Produce geographic forecasts of orders, completions and revenue using customer insight and statistical analysis
- Identify, track and explain risks and opportunities, and the progression of major projects against forecast
- Work with sales and customer teams to build the most accurate possible view of demand
- Assess the impact of offers, discounts, bespoke pricing and product substitution on demand
- Present forecasts and analysis, proactively and reactively, to support key commercial decisions
- Enable sales, finance, commercial, strategy, product and capacity planning teams to use the forecast effectively
- Drive continuous improvement in forecasting quality and efficiency
- Provide ad hoc analysis to support business decisions
Other skills required:
- Commercial Judgement - Able to read the business context behind the numbers and form an independent, defensible point of view
- Data Storytelling - Turns complex analysis into a clear narrative that senior stakeholders can act on
- Stakeholder Influence - Builds trust across functions and can challenge and negotiate to a successful conclusion
- Attention to Detail - Handles large, complex models without errors while keeping sight of the bigger picture
- Self-Direction - Highly self-motivated, structured and able to deliver under pressure to tight deadlines
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Benefits
- On-target bonus
- Company pension scheme
- 25 days annual leave plus bank holidays, increasing with service
- Share saving schemes
- Smart working with flexibility to work from home
- Wide range of flexible benefits including healthcare, cycle to work and season ticket loan
- World-class training and development opportunities
Keywords
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